In the section Articles
Title of the article Methodical Approach to Estimation of Energy Efficiency Parameters of the Economy Under the Structural Changes in the Fuel And Energy Balance (on the Example of Baikal Region)
Pages 90-106
Author 1 Boris Grigorievich Saneev
Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor, Deputy Director
Melentiev Energy Systems Institute of Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
130 Lermontov str., Irkutsk, Russia, 664033
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Author 2 Alexander Daniilovich Sokolov
Doctor of Technical Sciences, Associate Professor, Laboratory Head
Melentiev Energy Systems Institute of Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
130 Lermontov str., Irkutsk, Russia, 664033
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Author 3 Svetlana Yuryevna Muzychyuk
Candidate Economics, Leading Researcher
Melentiev Energy Systems Institute of Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
130 Lermontov str., Irkutsk, Russia, 664033
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Author 4 Roman Igorevich Muzychyuk
Leading Engineer
Melentiev Energy Systems Institute of Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
130 Lermontov str., Irkutsk, Russia, 664033
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Abstract The authors consider a methodical approach which allows estimating energy efficiency parameters of the region’s economy using a fuel and energy balance (FEB). This approach was tested on the specific case of Baikal region. During the testing process the authors have developed ex ante and ex post FEBs and estimated energy efficiency parameters such as energy-, electro- and heat capacity of GRP, coefficients of useful utilization of fuel and energy resources and a monetary version of FEB. Forecast estimations are based on assumptions and limitations of technologically-intensive development scenario of the region. Authors show that the main factor of structural changes in the fuel and energy balance will be the large-scale development of hydrocarbon resources in Baikal region. It will cause structural changes in the composition of both the debit and credit of FEB (namely the structure of export and final consumption of fuel and energy resources). Authors assume that the forecast structural changes of the region’s FEB will significantly improve energy efficiency parameters of the economy: energy capacity of GRP will decrease by 1,5 times in 2010– 2030, electro and heat capacity – 1,9 times; coefficients of useful utilization of fuel and energy resources will increase by 3–5 p.p. This will save about 20 million tons of fuel equivalent (about 210 billion rubles in 2011 the prices) until 2030.
Code 338.45 :620.9 (571.5)
DOI 10.14530/se.2013.4.090-106
Keywords ♦ Methodical approach ♦ energy efficiency ♦ economy ♦ power consumption ♦ fuel and energy complex ♦ fuel and energy balance ♦ Baikal region
Download SE.2013.4.090-106.Saneev.pdf
For citation Saneev B.G., Sokolov A.D., Muzychyuk S.Y., Muzychyuk R.I. Methodical Approach to Estimation of Energy Efficiency Parameters of the Economy Under the Structural Changes in the Fuel And Energy Balance (on the Example of Baikal Region). Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2013, no. 4, pp. 90-106. DOI: 10.14530/se.2013.4.090-106. (In Russian).
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