In the section | From the Chief Editor |
Title of the article | Shocks and Institutions: The Paradoxes of Russian Crisis |
Pages | 7-13 |
Author 1 | Pavel Aleksandrovich Minakir Academician, Professor, Doctor of Economics, Director. Economic Research Institute FEB RAS 153 Tikhookeanskaya Street, Khabarovsk, Russia, 680042 This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. |
Abstract | The modern crisis phenomena in the Russian economy had some objective grounds, but they would never get real without the two external shocks that were almost synchronized in time. The first shock is the decline in world oil prices, which is caused, for the Russian economy, by the failure of system analysis and forecasting of the branch markets dynamics. The second shock is the introduction of sectoral, primarily financial, sanctions against Russia. The result of these two shocks, coupled with fundamental institutional conservatism, is the transition of institutional and structural crisis in the Russian economy in the form of a classical cyclical crisis. The inviolability of the management, personnel and ideological (in the sense of economic concepts) foundations of the Russian economy ensures, at least, the protracted nature of the current crisis, due to the limited capacity of the structural compensators to change the economic dynamics without large- scale support of financial market, technological exchange, economic incentives and positive expectations of economic agents. |
Code | 338 |
DOI | 10.14530/se.2016.1.007-013 |
Keywords | crisis ♦ external shocks ♦ institutions ♦ institutional conservatism ♦ cyclical determinism ♦ Russia |
Download | SE.2016.1.007-013.Minakir.pdf |
For citation | Minakir P.A. Shocks and Institutions: The Paradoxes of Russian Crisis. Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2016, no. 1, pp. 7-13. DOI: 10.14530/se.2016.1.007-013. (In Russian). |
References | 1. Bulletin of Socio-Economic Crisis in Russia. Dynamics of Consumer Prices in Russia in the Period of Recession. Analytical Center for the Government of the Russian Federation, 2016, January, no. 9, 20 р. Available at: 2. Minakir P.А. Simple Strategies in a Challenging Game. Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2015, no. 3, pp. 7–15. DOI: 10.14530/se.2015.3.007-015. (In Russian). 3. Federal State Statistic Service of the Russian Federation. Available at: www.gks.ru (accessed 08 February 2016). (In Russian). 4. The Central Bank of the Russian Federation. Available at: http://www.cbr.ru (accessed 07 March 2016). (In Russian). 5. Gregory P.R. A Russian Crisis with no end in Sight, Thanks to Low Oil Prices аnd Sanctions. Available at: www.forbes.com/sites/paulroderickgregory/2015/05/14 (accessed 25 February 2016). |
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