In the section Articles
Title of the article The Effect of Currency Policy on Portfolio Investments in East Asia Countries
Pages 74–91
Author Yana Valeryevna Dyomina
Candidate of Economics, Research Fellow
Economic Research Institute FEB RAS
153 Tikhookeanskaya Street, Khabarovsk, Russia, 680042
This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
ORCID: 0000-0001-5208-7273
Abstract Currency and stock markets of East Asia significantly differ from one another in levels of development and regulation. The markets of Japan, Singapore and Hong Kong (the most developed and ‘volumetric’) are defined by the least number of restrictions applies (2–4 out of 13 defined by the IMF). At the same time, 8 countries of East Asia (China, Malaysia, Myanmar, Vietnam, the Philippines, Indonesia, Laos and Thailand) control almost all capital-moving operations (11–12 restrictions). Despite many offers of monetary cooperation and coordination of currency policy, countries of East Asia do not have a solidarity in choosing the regime of exchange rate. According to the IMF, 9 countries out of 14 use fixed exchange rates. The East Asia countries are also characterized by frequent shifts in exchange-rate regimes: in 2000–2016 only Brunei, Japan and the Republic of Korea did not change a regime. The results of regression analysis of panel data show that, despite the lack of institutional framework of coordinated monetary policy in the region, there is an actual binding of nominal rates of East Asian currencies to US dollar. There is a strong relation between such monetary policy in the region as a whole, and not every country separately, and net export of portfolio investments out of East Asia countries.
Code 339.727+339.743
JEL F21, F31, F38, F42
DOI 10.14530/se.2018.2.074-091
Keywords Portfolio investments ♦ balance of payments ♦ monetary policy ♦ currency exchange rate ♦ currency integration ♦ Mundell-Fleming model ♦ ASEAN ♦ ASEAN+3 ♦ East Asia
Download SE.2018.2.074-091.Dyomina.pdf
For citation Dyomina Ya.V. The Effect of Currency Policy on Portfolio Investments in East Asia Countries. Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2018, no. 2, pp. 74–91. DOI: 10.14530/se.2018.2.074-091. (In Russian).
References 1. Arapova E.Ya. Integration Potential of Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific. Mirovaya Ekonomika i Mezhdunarodnye Otnosheniya = World Eсonomy and International Relations, 2016, vol. 60, no. 1, pp. 68–81. (In Russian).
2. Currency Wars: Myths and Reality: Materials of the Round Table. Edited by A.A. Maslennikov. Doklady Instituta Evropy = IE Reports, no. 266. Moscow: Institute of Europe, Russian Academy of Sciences, 2011, 78 p. (In Russian).
3. Golovnin M. Theoretical Approaches to Monetary Policy Implementation in the Globalized Economy. Voprosy Ekonomiki [Economic Issues], 2009, no. 4, pp. 42–58. (In Russian).
4. Goryunova N.P., Minakir P.A. Financial Crises in Emerging Markets. Economic Research Institute FEB RAS. Moscow, 2006, 215 p. (In Russian).
5. Dyomina Ya.V. East Asian Capital Markets: Integration and Convergence. Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2016, no. 3, pp. 81–104. DOI: 10.14530/se.2016.3.081-104. (In Russian).
6. Nekipelov A., Goland Yu. From Freezing to Investing: New Approaches to Monetary and Currency Policies. Voprosy Ekonomiki [Economic Issues], 2008, no. 3, pp. 47–55. (In Russian).
7. Shishkov Yu.V. ‘Impossible Trinity’ in Era of Financial Globalization. Mirovaya Ekonomika i Mezhdunarodnye Otnosheniya = World Eсonomy and International Relations, 2012, no. 5, pp. 3–14. (In Russian).
8. AMU-cmim. Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry. Available at: https://www.rieti.go.jp/users/amu/en/cmi.html (accessed April 2018).
9. Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions 2016. International Monetary Fund, October 2016, 90 p.
10. Belaisch A., Zanello A. Deepening Financial Ties. Finance and Development, 2006, vol. 43, no. 2, pp. 16–19.
11. Boughton J.M. On the Origins of the Fleming – Mundell Model. IMF Staff Papers, 2003, vol. 50, no. 1, pp. 1–9.
12. Calvi R. Assessing Financial Integration: A Comparison between Europe and Asia. European Commission. Economic Papers, 2010, September, no. 423, 46 p.
13. Capannelli G. The ASEAN Economy in the Regional Context: Opportunities, Challenges, and Policy Options. ADB. Working Paper Series on Regional Economic Integration, 2014, December, no. 145. Mandaluyong City: Asian Development Bank, 2014, 41 p.
14. Chai H.Y., Yoon D.R. The Connections between Financial and Monetary Cooperation in East Asia. Fostering Monetary and Financial Cooperation in East Asia. Edited by D.-K. Chung, B. Eichengreen. World Scientific Publishing Co. Ltd., 2009, pp. 29–50.
15. Devereux M.B., Engel C. Monetary Policy in the Open Economy Revisited: Price Setting and Exchange Rate Flexibility. NBER Working Paper, April 2000, no. 7665, 45 p.
16. Fleming M.J. Domestic Financial Policies under Fixed and Floating Exchange Rates. International Monetary Fund. Staff Papers,1962, November, vol. 9, pp. 369–379.
17. Floden M. The Open Economy Revisited: The Mundell – Fleming Model and the Exchange-Rate Regime. Stockholm School of Economics, 2010, January, 25 p. Available at: http://www2.hhs.se/personal/floden/files/floden_chapter12.pdf (accessed March 2018).
18. Hernandez L., Montiel P.J. Post-Crisis Exchange Rate Policy in Five Asian Countries: Filling in the ‘Hollow Middle’? Paper Prepared for the High Level Seminar ‘Exchange Rate Regimes: Hard Peg or Free Floating’, Organized by the IMF Institute. Washington DC, March 19–20, 2001, 50 p.
19. Hong B.J. Financial Integration and Cooperation in East Asia: Assessment of Recent Developments and Their Implications. IMES. Discussion Paper Series 2011-E-5, Tokyo, 2011, 96 р.
20. Krugman P. Currency Regimes, Capital Flows and Crises. IMF Economic Review, 2014, vol. 62, no. 4, pp. 470–493. DOI:10.1057/imfer.2014.9.
21. Mundell R.A. Capital Mobility and Stabilization Policy under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates. Canadian Journal of Economic and Political Science, 1963, no. 29, pp. 475–485. DOI: 10.2307/139336
22. Myanmar: Recent Economic Developments. IMF Staff Country Report, November 1999, no. 99/134, 82 p.
23. Niehans J. Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Open Economies under Fixed Exchange Rates: An Optimizing Approach. Journal of Political Economy, 1986, pp. 893–920.
24. Obstfeld M. International Macroeconomics: Beyond the Mundell – Fleming Model. International Monetary Fund. Staff Papers, 2001, vol. 47, Special Issue, 39 p.
25. Obstfeld M., Rogoff K. The Mirage of Fixed Exchange Rates. NBER Working Paper, July 1995, no. 5191, 45 p.
26. Opportunities and Obstacles for Enhanced Economic Cooperation. Report on East Asian Integration. Еdited by H. Dieter. Notre Europe. Studies and Research, 2006, January, no. 47, 149 p.
27. Park C.Y. Asian Capital Market Integration: Theory and Evidence. Asian Capital Market Development and Integration: Challenges and Opportunities. New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 2014, pp. 251–285.
28. Park C.Y., Lee J.W. Financial Integration in Emerging Asia: Challenges and Prospects. ADB. Working Paper Series on Regional Economic Integration, 2011, May, no. 79, 48 p.
29. Park Y.C., Wyplosz Ch. Monetary and Financial Integration in East Asia: The Relevance of European Experience. European Commission. Economic Papers, 2008, September,no. 329, 148 p.
30. Patnaik I., Shah A., Sethy A., Balasubramaniam V. The Exchange Rate Regime in Asia: From Crisis To Crisis. International Review of Economics and Finance, 2011, no. 20, pp. 32–43.
31. Sarantis N. The Mundell – Fleming Model with Perfect Capital Mobility and Oligopolistic Pricing. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 1986, vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 138–148.
32. Urata Sh. Globalization and Regional Economic Integration in East Asia. Regional Integration in East Asia: Theoretical and Historical Perspectives. Edited by S. Amako et al. United Nations University Press, 2013, pp. 131–166.
33. Volz U. Prospects for Monetary Cooperation and Integration in East Asia. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2010, 338 p.
34. World and Regional Tables: Balance of Payments and International Investment Position by Indicator (BPM6). IMF. Available at: http://data.imf.org/regular.aspx?key=60961513 (accessed April 2018).
Financing  
Date  

ISSN (Print) 1815-9834
ISSN (Online) 2587-5957

Minakir Pavel Aleksandrovich,

Journal’s Founder

 

Artem Isaev
Editor-in-Chief
Tel.: +7 (4212) 725-225
Fax: +7 (4212) 225-916
e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

 

Samokhina Lyudmila
Executive Editor
Tel.: +7 (4212) 725-230
e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

 

Editors
Tel.: +7 (4212) 725-230
e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

 
To Editorial Staff of “Spatial Economics”
Economic Research Institute FEB RAS
153 Tikhookeanskaya St., Khabarovsk, RUSSIA, 680042

 

 

Creative Commons License
Unless otherwise noted, content on this site is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License