| In the section | Review, discussion, criticism |
| Title of the article | Reform with Unaccounted Uncertainty (Review of the Monograph: ‘The Reform of Rail Transport: Critical Analysis and the Problem of Estimating Efficiency’) |
| Pages | 170–183 |
| Author | Anna Borisovna Bardal Candidate of Economics, Assistant Professor, Senior Research Fellow Economic Research Institute FEB RAS 153 Tikhookeanskaya Street, Khabarovsk, Russia, 680042 This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-4714 |
| Abstract | The present work is a review of a monograph ‘The Reform of Rail Transport: critical analysis and the problem of estimating efficiency’ by Kibalov E.B. and Kin A.A., published by Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Siberian Branch of RAS in 2017. The unquestionable merit of the monograph is an original author approach of complex application of decision theory methods, applied systems analysis, model apparatus of investment analysis, economic sociology, and economic publication, to one research task – studying the results of the rail transport reform in Russia. It is viewed by the authors as a large-scale institutional project with an investment component. The analysis of reform process and its results leads the authors to a conclusion about fundamental problem: not accounting for the uncertainty factor. The monograph formulates the authors’ concept of assessment of large-scale projects (institutional and investment) in uncertain situations and offers complex methods of their appraisal, including econometrical modeling and expert interviews. The main content is presented in five parts. The indisputable advantage of the monograph is the continuity with the previous works of the authors and the application of several decades’ worth of research results |
| Code | 338.47 |
| JEL | R41, L92, O18 |
| DOI | 10.14530/se.2018.2.170-183 |
| Keywords | rail transport ♦ reform ♦ uncertainty factor ♦ risks ♦ Russia |
| Download | |
| For citation | Bardal A.B. Reform With Unaccounted Uncertainty (Review of The Monograph: ‘The Reform of Rail Transport: Critical Analysis and the Problem of Estimating Efficiency’).Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2018, no. 2, pp. 170–183. DOI: 10.14530/se.2018.2.170-183. (In Russian). |
| References | 1. Analytical Note on the 15th Anniversary of Structural Reform in the Railway Transport of the Russian Federation. The Institute of Natural Monopolies Research (IPEM), 2016, 18 p. Available at: (accessed May 2018). (In Russian). 2. Galaburda V.G. Improvement of Management of Freight Cars and Material Flows in Modern Conditions. Ekonomika Zheleznukh Dorog [Economy of Railways], 2012, no. 11, pp. 26–30. (In Russian). 3. Galieva D.S. Natural Monopolies of Russia in the Context of Reformation at the Turn of XX–XXI Centuries (by the Example of Railway Transport). Vestnik RGGU. Seriya: Istoriya, Filologiya, Kulturologiya, Vostokovedenie = RSUH/RGGU Bulletin. ‘History. Philology. Cultural Studies. Oriental Studies’ Series, 2017, no. 8 (29), pp. 100–108. (In Russian). 4. Golomolzin A.N., Davydov G.E. On the Subject and Methodology of the Analysis of the Process and Results of the Reform of Rail Markets and Related Services. Bulleten Transportnoy Informatsii = The Bulletin of Transport Information, 2017, no. 6 (264), pp. 3–13. (In Russian). 5. Gurev A.I. Out of Impasse: The Story of one Reform. Saint-Petersburg, 2008, 800 p. (In Russian). 6. Davydov G.Е. Reforming of a Railway Transport: Results and Problems. Menedzhment i Biznes-Administririvanie = Management and Business Administration, 2008, no. 4, pp. 66–76. (In Russian). 7. Kibalov E.B., Kin A.A. Reform in the Railway Sector: A Critical Analysis and the Problem of Assessment of Efficiency. Edited by V.A. Kryukov. Novosibirsk: Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering SB RAS, 2017, 160 p. (In Russian). 8. Kibalov E.B. Structural Reform of Railway Transport of Russia: Expert Analysis and Related Issues. EKO = ECO, 2016, no. 8, pp. 120–127. (In Russian). 9. Kibalov E.B., Kin A.A. Large-Scale Investment Projects: Comparative Analysis of Efficiency Evaluation Methods Used by Russia’s Natural Monopolies. Region: Ekonomika i Sotsiologiya = Regional Research of Russia, 2016, no. 1, no. 295–313. (In Russian). 10. Kibalov E.B., Kin A.A. Introducing Uncertainty into Estimation of Effectiveness of Large-Scale Regional Transport Projects: Structural Institutional Approach. Region: Ekonomika i Sotsiologiya = Regional Research of Russia, 2014, no. 2, pp. 81–96. (In Russian). 11. Kibalov E.B., Kin A.A. Structural Reform of the Rail Transportation as an Institutional Project: Analysis of Strategic Aspects. Region: Ekonomika i Sotsiologiya = Regional Research of Russia, 2010, no. 2, pp. 282–304. (In Russian). 12. Kibalov E.B., Gorychenko V.I., Khutoretskiy A.B. System Analysis of the Expected Efficiency of Large-Scale Projects. Novosibirsk: Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering SB RAS, 2008, 162 p. (In Russian). 13.. Kibalov E.B., Kin A.A. Assessing Prospective Effectiveness of Large-Scale Investment Projects: Consideration of a Factor of Indeterminacy. Region: Ekonomika i Sotsiolo-giya = Regional Research of Russia, 2007, no. 3, pp. 67–91. (In Russian). 14. Kurenkov P.V., Khusainov F.I. Russian Railway Infrastructure and Regulation of Rolling Stock. Ekonomika Zheleznukh Dorog [Economy of Railways], 2013, no. 9, pp. 35–48. (In Russian). 15. Labsker L.G. Optimality Criteria Theory and Economic Decisions. Moscow, 2010. 259 p. (In Russian). 16. Lapidus B.М., Macheret D.А. Today’s Problems in Development and Restructuring of Railway Transport. Vestnik Nauchno-Issledovatelskogo Instituta Zheleznodorozhnogo Transporta = Vniizht Bulletin (Railway Research Institute Bulletin), 2015, no. 6, pp. 3–8. (In Russian). 17. Macheret D.А., Ryshkov A.V. Long-Term Changes in the Main Performance Indicators of Railway Transport in the Context of Macroeconomic Transformations. Ekonomika Zheleznukh Dorog [Economy of Railways], 2012, no. 9, pp. 12–17. (In Russian). 18. Mingalimova A.V. Model the Restructuring and Privatization of the Railways in Russia. V Mire Nauchnykh Otkrytiy = In the World of Scientific Discoveries, 2013, no. 11.10 (47), pp. 8–15. (In Russian). 19. On the Program of Structural Reform on Railway Transport: The Order of the Government of the Russian Federation of 18.05.2001 No. 384. Consultant-Plus. Available at: http://www.consultant.ru/document/Cons_doc_LAW_31692/ (accessed May 2018). (In Russian). 20. Pekhterev F.S. About Basic Provisions of the General Scheme of Development of the Railway Network of JSC RZHD for the Period till 2020. Ekonomika Zheleznukh Dorog [Economy of Railways], 2012, no. 5, pp. 30–38. (In Russian). 21. The Program for Structural Reform in Railway Transport (with Commentary). Compiled by A.S. Misharin, A.V. Sharonov, B.M. Lapidus, P.K. Chichagov, N.M. Burnosov, D.A. Macheret. Moscow, 2001, 240 p. (In Russian). 22. Railway Reform: Toolkit for Improving Rail Sector Performance. Australia. World Bank Group. Available at: https://ppiaf.org/sites/ppiaf.org/files/documents/toolkits/railways_toolkit_russian/ch7_1.html (accessed May 2018). (In Russian). 23. Sio K.K. Managerial Economics. Moscow, 2000, 671 p. (In Russian). 24. Slobodyanik A.Yu. Influence of Interspecific Competition on the Structure and Volume of Railway Transportation of Goods. Ekonomika Zheleznukh Dorog [Economy of Railways], 2016, no. 9, pp. 62–67. (In Russian). 25. Tokarev V.A. Analysis of the Level and Trends of Development of Car Repair Production of Railway Transport in Russia. Ekonomika Zheleznukh Dorog [Economy of Railways], 2011, no. 10, pp. 14–19. (In Russian). 26. Trydov O.G., Alekseev E.A. Suburban Railway Transportation: Challenges and Solutions. Ekonomika Zheleznukh Dorog [Economy of Railways], 2012, no. 7, pp. 36–43. (In Russian). 27. Kholopov K.V., Sokolova O.V. The Restructuring and Privatization of the National Railways: Which Model Should Russia Choose? Rossiyskiy Vneshneekonomicheskiy Vestnik = Russian Foreign Economic Journal, 2013, no. 3, pp. 59–74. (In Russian). 28. Khusainov F.I. Demonopolization of Railway Transport and Development of the System of Operator Companies. Saratov, 2009, 322 p. (In Russian). 29. Khusainov F.I. Reform of the Railway Industry in Russia: Problems of Incomplete Liberalization. Moscow, 2015, 272 p. (In Russian). 30. Khusainov F.I. Economic Reforms on Railway Transport. Moscow, 2012, 192 p. (In Russian). 31. Target Model of the Rail Freight Market for the Period up to 2015 and Action Plan for its Implementation. Ministry of Economic Development of Russia. Available at: http:// economy.gov.ru/minec/activity/sections/naturMonopoly/monopoly/doc20110919_010 (accessed May 2018). (In Russian). |
| Financing | |
| Date |