| In the section | Articles |
| Title of the article | Modeling the Situation of Pseudo-Security of the Food Sector of the Region |
| Pages | 59-77 |
| Author 1 |
Alexandr Anatolyevich Kuklin Doctor of Economics, Professor, Chief Researcher Institute of Economics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences 29 Moskovskaya St., Yekaterinburg, Russia, 620014 This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. ORCID: 0000-0002-9794-4774 |
| Author 2 |
Liudmila Anatolyevna Kriventsova Leading Economist Institute of Economics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences 29 Moskovskaya St., Yekaterinburg, Russia, 620014 This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. ORCID: 0000-0001-9172-4239 |
| Author 3 |
Vladimir Mikhailovich Ivanov Candidate of Sciences (Physics and Mathematics), Associate Professor Ural Federal University named after the first President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin 19 Mira St., Ekaterinburg, Russia, 620072 This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. ORCID: 0000-0002-4063-9496 |
| Abstract | The priority task of the development of any socio-economic system is to ensure economic security. However, during the research of economic security we found that there are states of the social and economic system which are characterised by normal values of indicators and trends from the perspectives of economic security. But, at the same time there are preconditions for unbalancing and regress of the system in the nearest future. We have characterised such tendencies as a situation of pseudo-security. The study aims to identify the situations of pseudo-security. A pseudo-security detection model was developed using the food sector of the region as an example. We assume that the situation of pseudo-security arises as a result of structural imbalances and inconsistencies in production and consumption. The constituent entities of the Urals Federal District, namely the Sverdlovsk, Kurgan, Tyumen and Chelyabinsk regions, were selected as the object of analysis. Food security assessment of the constituent entities of the Ural Federal District showed a high level of their security. Deterministic factor analysis of the structure of production and consumption of basic food products has shown that the food security of these constituent entities is provided exclusively by the production of bread and bread products. An analysis of the structure of consumption also revealed significant deviations in consumption, in particular in the Sverdlovsk region. The calculations revealed the situation of food pseudo-security of the constituent entities of the Ural Federal District. The results can be used to simulate the situation of pseudo-security in other areas of the socio-economic system |
| Code | 332+338 |
| JEL | D10, I12, R13 |
| DOI | 10.14530/se.2019.3.059-077 |
| Keywords | economic security ♦ pseudo-security ♦ food sector of the region ♦ food sovereignty ♦ food consumption ♦ structural imbalances ♦ the Ural Federal Distric |
| Download | |
| For citation | Kuklin A.A., Kriventsova L.A., Ivanov V.M. Modeling the Situation of Pseudo-Security of the Food Sector of the Region. Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2019, vol. 15. no. 2, pp. 59–77. DOI: 10.14530/se.2019.3.059-077. (In Russian). |
| References | 1. Abakarova R.Sh. Development of the Food Market in Russia as a Factor of Economic Stability in the Country. Teoriya i Praktika Obshchestvennogo Razvitiya = Theory and Practice of Social Development, 2015, no. 23, pp. 83–85. (In Russian). 2. Applied Statistics. Fundamentals of Econometrics. In 2 Vol. Vol. 1. Probability Theory and Applied Statistics. S.A. Ayvazyan, V.S. Mkhitaryan. Moscow, 2001, 656 p. (In Russian). 3. Ashley J.M. Introduction. Food Security in the Developing World. Еdited by J.M. Ashley. Academic Press, 2016, pp. 1–18. 4. Botkin O.I., Sutygina A.I., Sutygin P.F. National Issues of Food Security Assessment. Vestnik Udmurdskogo Universiteta. Seriya Ekonomika i Pravo = Bulletin of Udmurt University. Series Economics and Law, 2016, vol. 26, no. 4, pp. 20–27. (In Russian). 5. Committee on World Food Security. 2012, CFS 2012/39/4. Available at: (accessed May 2019). (In Russian). 6. Doctrine of Food Security of the Russian Federation: Approved by Presidential Decree of January 30, 2010 No. 120. Garant. Available at: https://base.garant.ru/12172719/ (accessed May 2019). (In Russian). 7. Dugina E.L., Garmaeva L.B., Dugin A.V. Assessment of the Food Security State in the Region under the Conditions of the Sanctions Economy. Vestnik Zabaykalskogo Gosudarstvennogo Universiteta [Bulletin of the Trans-Baikal State University], 2018, vol. 24, no. 6, pp. 102–110. DOI: 10.21209/2227-9245-2018-24 -6-102-110. (In Russian). 8. Economic Security of Sverdlovsk Territory. Edited by G.A. Kovaleva, A.A. Kuklin. Ekaterinburg, 2003, 455 p. (In Russian). 9. Gray A. Which Countries Spend the Most on Food? This Map Will Show You. World Economic Forum, 2019. Available at: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/12/this-map-shows-how-much-each-country-spends-on-food/ (accessed May 2019). 10. On Approval of the Recommendation on Rational Norms of Consumption of Food Products Meeting Modern Requirements of Healthy Food: The Order of the Ministry of Health of Russia of August 19, 2016 No. 614. Garant. Available at: http://www.garant.ru/products/ipo/prime/doc/71385784/ (accessed March 2019). (In Russian). 11. Regions of Russia. Socio-Economic Indicators: Statistical Compendium. Rosstat. Moscow, 2018, 1162 p. (In Russian). 12. Singh R.B., Takahashi T. Editorial: Why Functional Food Security, Not Just Food Security. The Role of Functional Food Security in Global Health. Edited by R.B. Singh, R.R. Watson, T. Takahashi. Academic Press, 2019, pp. xliii-xlix. 13. The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World, 2018. FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP & WHO. Rоme, 2018. Available at: (accessed February 2019). (In Russian). 14. Tripathi A.D., Mishra R., Maurya K.K., Singh R.B., Wilson D.W. Estimates for World Population and Global Food Availability for Global Health. The Role of Functional Food Security in Global Health. Edited by R.B. Singh, R.R. Watson, T. Takahashi. Academic Press, 2019, pp. 3–24. 15. Vlazneva S.A., Mishina N.A. The Food Security of Russia in the Period of the Economic Sanctions. Prodovolsvennaya Politika i Bezopasnost = Food Policy and Security, 2015, vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 153–166. DOI: 10.18334/ppib.2.3.1911. (In Russian). 16. Zemskova E.S., Chudaykina Yu.A., Kazakov S.V. Incomes and Food Security of State. Kontentus [Content], 2015, no. 5, pp. 123–138. (In Russian) |
| Financing | The study has been conducted with the financial support of the Russian Foundation for Basic Research science project No. 19-010-00373 ‘Security and pseudo-security of economic development of the regions of Russia under the influence of multidirectional trends’ |