In the section Articles
Title of the article Resilience of the Russian Regional Economies to the 2020 Pandemic
Pages 101-124
Author Marina Yurievna Malkina
Doctor of Economics, Professor
Lobachevsky State University of Nizhni Novgorod
7 per. Universitetsky, Nizhni Novgorod, 603000, Russian Federation
This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
ORCID: 0000-0002-3152-3934
Abstract The study is devoted to assessing the resilience of Russian regions’ economies to the 2020 pandemic and analysing its factors. We evaluate the regional economies’ resilience using a set of per capita indicators, such as budget revenues and household incomes, production in the main sectors of the economy, and investments in fixed assets. We use two alternative methods for assessing the resilience of a region to an external shock: the modified method of R. Martin and R. Lagravinese, based on a comparison of regional trends with country-wide ones, and the author’s approach, based on a comparison of pandemic indicators with non-pandemic forecasts of the region. All particular resilience indicators are normalized and reduced to an integral indicator. The study revealed the most significant resilience to the pandemic of some underdeveloped Russian regions, which received substantial government support and several border territories and Far Eastern regions, which benefited from the increase in metal prices. The more developed and large economies and the centres of the extractive industry demonstrated the lowest resilience. The calculation of correlations between resilience indices and regional development indicators confirmed the impact of the sectoral and institutional structure of the economy on its resistance to the shock. By building an econometric model estimated by the OLS method, we confirmed the positive impact of the share of employment in government-owned and municipal enterprises and the negative impact of the degree of openness, the size of the economy and the share of the mining industry on the regional economies’ resilience. The conducted research is applicable in developing a balanced inter-budgetary, regional and sectoral policy in the context of economic crises of a pandemic type
Code 332.12, 338.12
JEL С10, R11, E32
DOI https://dx.doi.org/10.14530/se.2022.1.101-124
Keywords region ♦ resilience ♦ pandemic 2020 ♦ assessment ♦ factors ♦ Russia
Download SE.2022.1.101-124.Malkina.pdf
For citation Malkina M.Yu. Resilience of the Russian Regional Economies to the 2020 Pandemic. Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2022, vol. 18, no. 1, pp. 101–124. https://dx.doi.org/10.14530/se.2022.1.101-124 (In Russian)
References 1. Arbolino R., Di Caro P. Can the EU Funds Promote Regional Resilience at Time of COVID-19? Insights from the Great Recession. Journal of Policy Modeling, 2021, vol. 43, issue 1, pp. 109–126. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2020.10.001
2. Boschma R. Towards an Evolutionary Perspective on Regional Resilience. Regional Studi-es, 2015, vol. 49, issue 5, pp. 733–751. https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2014.959481
3. Brown L., Greenbaum R.T. The Role of Industrial Diversity in Economic Resilience: An Empirical Examination Across 35 Years. Urban Studies, 2017, vol. 54, issue 6, pp. 1347–1366. https://doi.org/10.1177/0042098015624870
4. Cainelli G., Ganau R., Modica M. Does Related Variety Affect Regional Resilience? New Evidence from Italy. The Annals of Regional Science, 2019, vol. 62, no. 3, pp. 657–680. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-019-00911-4
5. Christopherson S., Michie J., Tyler P. Regional Resilience: Theoretical and Empirical Perspectives. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 2010, vol. 3, issue 1, pp. 3–10. https://doi.org/10.1093/cjres/rsq004
6. Clark J., Huang H.-I, Walsh J.P. A Typology of ‘Innovation Districts’: What it Means for Regional Resilience. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 2010, vol. 3, issue 1, pp. 121–137. https://doi.org/10.1093/cjres/rsp034
7. Ezcurra R., Rios V. Quality of Government and Regional Resilience in the European Union. Evidence from the Great Recession. Papers in Regional Sciences, 2019, vol. 98, issue 3, pp. 1267– 1290. https://doi.org/10.1111/pirs.12417
8. Fardoust S., Lin J.Y. , Luo X. Demystifying China›s Fiscal Stimulus. World Bank. Policy Research Working Papers 6221. 2012. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-6221
9. Fingleton B., Garretsen H., Martin R. Recessionary Shocks and Regional Employment: Evidence on the Resilience of U.K. Regions. Journal of Regional Science, 2012, vol. 52, issue 1, pp. 109–133. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9787.2011.00755.x
10. Foster K.A. A Case Study Approach to Understanding Regional Resilienceю Institute of Urban and Regional Development, University of California, Berkeley, Working Paper 2007-08, 2007, 41 p. Available at: https://www.econstor.eu/obitstream/10419/59413/1/592535347.pdf (accessed January 2022).
11. Giannakis E., Bruggeman A. Regional Disparities in Economic Resilience in the European Union Across the Urban-Rural Divide. Regional Studies, 2019, vol. 54, issue 9, pp. 1200–1213. https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2019.1698720
12. Groot S.P., Mohlmann J.L., Garretsen J.H., de Groot H.L. The Crisis Sensitivity of European Countries and Regions: Stylized Facts and Spatial Heterogeneity. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 2011, vol. 4, issue 3, pp. 437–456. https://doi.org/10.1093/cjres/rsr024
13. Harvey D. Globalization and the ‘Spatial Fix’. Geographische Revue, 2001, vol. 2, pp. 23–31.
14. Hill E.W., Wial H., Wolman H. Exploring Regional Economic Resilience. Institute of Urban and Regional Development, Berkeley, Working Paper 2008-04, 2008, 15 p. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.1.5099.4000
15. Hu X., Li L., Dong K. What Matters for Regional Economic Resilience Amid COVID-19? Evidence from Cities in Northeast China. Cities, 2022, vol. 120. 103440. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2021.103440
16. Huynh N., Dao A., Nguyen D. Openness, Economic Uncertainty, Government Responses, and International Financial Market Performance during the Coronavirus Pandemic. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 2021, vol. 31. 100536. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2021.100536
17. Klimanov V.V., Kazakova S.М., Mikhaylova A.A. Retrospective Analysis of the Resilience of Russian Regions as Socio-Economic Systems. Voprosy Ekonomiki [Economic Issues], 2019, no. 5, pp. 46–64. https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2019-5-46-64 (In Russian).
18. Klimanov V.V., Mikhaylova A.A., Kazakova S.M. Regional Resilience: Theoretical Basics of the Question. Ekonomicheskaya Politika = Economic Policy, 2018, vol. 13, no. 6, pp. 164–187. https://doi.org/10.18288/1994-5124-2018-6-164-187 (In Russian).
19. Kluge J. Sectoral Diversification as Insurance Against Economic Instability. Journal of Regional Science, 2018, vol. 58, issue 1, pp. 204–223. https://doi.org/10.1111/jors.12349
20. Kolomak E. Economic Effects of Pandemic-Related Restrictions in Russia and their Spatial Heterogeneity. R-Economy, 2020, vol. 6, no. 3, pp. 154–161. https://doi.org/10.15826/recon.2020.6.3.013
21. Lagravinese R. Economic Crisis and Rising Gaps North-South: Evidence from the Italian Regions. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 2015, vol. 8, issue 2, pp. 331–342. https://doi.org/10.1093/cjres/rsv006
22. Mai X., Zhan C., Chan R.C.K. The Nexus between (Re)Production of Space and Economic Resilience: An Analysis of Chinese Cities. Habitat International, 2021, vol. 109. 102326. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2021.102326
23. Malkina M.Yu. Assessment of Resilient Development of the Regional Economies Based on Mahalanobis Distances. Terra Economicus = Terra Economicus, 2020, vol. 18, no. 3, pp. 140–159. https://doi.org/10.18522/2073-6606-2020-18-3-140-159 (In Russian).
24. Martini B. Resilience and Economic Structure. Are they Related? Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 2020, vol. 54, pp. 62–91. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2020.03.006
25. Martin R. Regional Economic Resilience, Hysteresis and Recessionary Shocks. Journal of Economic Geography, 2012, vol. 1, issue 1, pp. 1–32. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbr019
26. Martin R., Sunley P., Gardiner B., Tyler P. How Regions React to Recess Resilience and the Role of Economic Structure. Regional Studies, 2016, vol. 50, issue 4, pp. 561–585. https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2015.1136410
27. Mikheeva N.N. Resilience of Russian Regions to Economic Shocks. Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2021, vol. 32, no. 1, pp. 68–77. https://doi.org/10.1134/S107570072101010X
28. Modica M., Reggiani A. Spatial Economic Resilience: Overview and Per-Spectives. Networks and Spatial Economics, 2015, vol. 15, pp. 211–233. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11067-014-9261-7
29. Pike A., Dawley S., Tomaney J. Resilience, Adaptation and Adaptability. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 2010, vol. 3, issue 1, pp. 59–70. https://doi.org/10.1093/cjres/rsq001
30. Ray D.M., Lamarche R.H., Beaudin M. Economic Growth and Restructuring in Canada’s Heartland and Hinterland: From Shift-Share to Multifactor Partitioning. The Canadian Geographer / Le Geographe canadien, 2012, vol. 56, pp. 296–317. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1541-0064.2012.00435.x
31. Ray D.M., MacLachlan I., Lamarche R., Srinath K.P. Economic Shock and Regional Resilience: Continuity and Change in Canada’s Regional Employment Structure, 1987–2012. Environment & Planning A, 2017, vol. 49, issue 4, pp. 952–973. https://doi.org/10.1177/0308518X16681788
32. Reggiani A., De Graaf T., Nijkamp P. Resilience: An Evolutionary Approach to Spatial Economic Systems. Networks and Spatial Economics, 2002, vol. 2, pp. 211–229. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1015377515690
33. Rose A. De?ning and Measuring Economic Resilience to Disasters. Disaster Prevention and Management, 2004, vol. 13, no. 4, pp. 307–314. https://doi.org/10.1108/09653560410556528
34. Shirov A.A. The Pandemic Crisis: The Mechanisms of Development and Solutions for Economic Policy. Zhurnal Novoy Ekonomicheskoy Assotsiatsii = Journal of the New Economic Association, 2021, no. 1 (49), pp. 209–216. https://doi.org/10.31737/2221-2264-2021-49-1-10 (In Russian).
35. Simmie J., Martin R. The Economic Resilience of Regions: Towards an Evolutionary Approach. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 2010, vol. 3, issue 1, pp. 27–43. https://doi.org/10.1093/cjres/rsp029
36. Swanstrom T., Chapple K., Immergluck D. Regional Resilience in the Face of Foreclosures: Evidence from Six Metropolitan Areas. IURD. Working Paper No. 2009-05, 2009, 60 p. Available at: https://escholarship.org/content/qt23s3q06x/qt23s3q06x.pdf (accessed January 2022).
37. Tan J., Hu X., Hassink R., Ni J. Industrial Structure or Agency: What Affects Regional Economic Resilience? Evidence from Resource-Based Cities in China. Cities, 2020, vol. 106. 102906. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2020.102906
38. Xiao J., Boschma R., Andersson M. Resilience in the European Union: The Effect of the 2008 Crisis on the Ability of Regions in Europe to Develop New Industrial Specializations. Industrial and Corporate Change, 2018, vol. 27, issue 1, pp. 15–47. https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtx023
39. Zolli A., Healy A.M. Resilience. Why Things Bounce Back. London: Headline, 2012, 336 p.
40. Zubarevich N.V. Influence the Pandemic at Socio-Economic Development and Regional Budgets. Voprosy Teoreticheskoy Ekonomiki = Theoretical Economics, 2021, no. 1, pp. 48–60. https://doi.org/10.24411/2587-7666-2021-10104 (In Russian).
Financing The study was carried out within the framework of the basic part of the state assignment of the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation, project 0729-2020-0056
Submitted 25.02.2022
Approved after reviewing 01.03.2022
Accepted for publication 02.03.2022
Available online 30.03.2022

ISSN (Print) 1815-9834
ISSN (Online) 2587-5957

Minakir Pavel Aleksandrovich,
Editor-in-Chief
Tel.: +7 (4212) 725-225,
Fax: +7 (4212) 225-916,
 
Samokhina Lyudmila, Executive Editor
Tel.: +7 (4212) 226-053
Fax: +7 (4212) 225-916,
 
Editors
Tel.: +7 (4212) 226-053,
Fax: +7 (4212) 225-916,
 
To Editorial Staff of “Spatial Economics”
Economic Research Institute FEB RAS
153 Tikhookeanskaya St., Khabarovsk, RUSSIA, 680042

 

 

Creative Commons License
Unless otherwise noted, content on this site is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License