In the section Articles
Title of the article Spatial Dependence of Prices for Vegetables and Fruits
Pages 54-80
Author 1 Venera Maratovna Timiryanova
Doctor of Economics, Associate Professor, Deputy Head of the Laboratory for the Study of Socio-Economic Problems of the Regions
Ufa University of Science and Technology
32 Zaki Validi St., Ufa, 450076, Russian Federation
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ORCID: 0000-0002-1004-0722
Author 2 Dina Khadimovna Krasnoselskaya
Candidate of Sciences (Economics), Senior Research Fellow of the Laboratory for the Study of Socio-Economic Problems of the Regions
Ufa University of Science and Technology
32 Zaki Validi St., Ufa, 450076, Russian Federation
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ORCID: 0000-0002-1668-2937
Author 3 Vadim Borisovich Prudnikov
Candidate of Sciences (Technical) Associate Professor, Senior Research Fellow of the Laboratory for the Study of Socio-Economic Problems of the Regions
Ufa University of Science and Technology
32 Zaki Validi St., Ufa, 450076, Russian Federation
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ORCID: 0000-0001-9892-3257
Author 4 Kasim Nazifovich Yusupov
Doctor of Economics, Professor
Ufa University of Science and Technology
32 Zaki Validi St., Ufa, 450076, Russian Federation
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ORCID: 0000-0002-7699-3817
Abstract This article presents the results of the analysis of spatial autocorrelation of daily prices for 8 types of fruit and vegetables (potatoes, cabbage, carrots, tomatoes, grapes, tangerines, apples, persimmons) in 2096 municipal districts of Russia for 2021–2024. The study included the calculation of global and local Moran’s indices with dynamically recalculated spatial weights matrices based on data detailed at the level of day, municipality, type of fruit/vegetable. We consider the choice of methods for building spatial weight matrices and estimating weights, as well as the impact of data aggregation on general conclusions about the spatial autocorrelation of prices. The study confirmed a stable positive spatial autocorrelation of prices for fruits and vegetables in Russia, regardless of the level of data aggregation (day/month and municipality/region) and the type of spatial weights matrix. The highest degree of spatial autocorrelation was found for carrots and tangerines, and its highest seasonal fluctuation was revealed for persimmon. It was found that most municipalities consistently belong to one predominant type of clusters, with high prices primarily registered in Siberia/Far East, whereas lower prices were registered in Central and Southern Russia. We also identified areas that demonstrate distinct spatial relationships. For example, municipalities in the Moscow region exhibit negative spatial autocorrelation, while areas in the Urals exhibit weak spatial dependencies. These results are of interest to the researchers and economists involved in pricing issues, as well as problems of integrating regional markets and studying regional aspects of inflation
Code 332.1+330.4
JEL P22, R12, L17
DOI https://dx.doi.org/10.14530/se.2025.4.054-080
Keywords sales price, spatial autocorrelation, vegetables, fruits, micro level, municipalities, region, Russia
Download SE.2025.4.054-080.Timiryanova.pdf
For citation Timiryanova V.M., Krasnoselskaya D.Kh., Prudnikov V.B., Yusupov K.N. Spatial Dependence of Prices for Vegetables and Fruits. Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2025, vol. 21, no. 4, pp. 54–80. https://dx.doi.org/10.14530/se.2025.4.054-080 (In Russian)
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Financing This research was funded by Russian Science Foundation grant No. 24-28-00774, https://rscf.ru/project/24-28-00774
Submitted 26.08.2025
Approved after reviewing 30.10.2025
Accepted for publication 16.11.2025
Available online 25.12.2025

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